To get 20K positives tests today, we are testing nearly 3x more people *every day* than the last time we had 20K positives a day, in Dec 2020.
This is because the PREVALENCE of Covid in our community now is much lower How much lower? Today, 1 out of every 440 people test positive. Whereas in December 2020 (the last time we had 20K positive tests a day) 1 in every 85 people in the community tested positive for Covid.
This is why focusing on daily cases is deceptive. We are NOT finding more Covid positives. All we are doing is testing far more people (3x more people) to get the equivalent result
Currently the UK are testing 1.2 million people a day for Covid (more the rest of Europe combined). Check the statistics below:
Rising Covid case rates bear no relationship to deaths/hospitalisations. The North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Foundation Trusts reported deaths from Covid is typical of rates up and down the country. NTHNF hasn’t reported a single Covid-19 death for 76 consecutive days, going right back to 28 April 2021.
IN A SCENARIO IN WHICH TESTING HAS A FALSE POSTIVE RATE OF 1%, IT WOULD BE IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE NUMBER OF DAILY NEW CASES IN THE UK TO GET BELOW 12,000.
SPOT THE PROBLEM?
THIS EXPLAINS WHY THE UK IS A TEST BED FOR THE REST OF EUROPE. THERE WILL SOON BE MOVES AFOOT TO RAMP UP TESTING UP-TAKE IN OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES IN ORDER TO JUSTIFY MORE LOCK DOWNS AT HOME AND ABROAD.
Domestically, this all of this makes sense in light of the Coronavirus Act and the governments likely ushering in of vaccine passports for domestic use.
While we celebrate getting back freedoms on July 19th, we should keep this in mind and never forget that this draconian Act is still in place and vaccine passports for domestic use is likely.
WHEN WE UNDERSTAND THAT VACCINE PASSPORTS REPRESENT AN AUTHORITARIAN AND COERCIVE RULE BY DECREE AND A STEPPING STONE TO FULL BLOWN CHINESE-STYLE TYRANNY, THE EMPHASIS THE MOST RIGHT WING UK GOVERNMENT IS PLACING ON RAMPING UP TESTING BEGINS TO MAKE PERFECT SENSE.
One thought on “Why rising Covid case rates are misleading”
I agree that the official stats regarding Da Covid are misleading; I’d argue that that’s deliberate.
As an anecdote, in the eighteen months since Da Covid was rolled out, I’ve yet to know of
even *one person* who’s been made seriously ill from it. I live in California on the central coast,
this is not about a virus, I think.
Hang in there..